Cold outlook for Penn in Pomeroy preseason rankings

Statistically gifted meteorologist Ken Pomeroy has built a name for himself forecasting college hoops. His 2011-12 previews are out and he's not expecting great things from the Quakers.

He's got Penn going 5-9 in the Ivy League, finishing fifth. He picks Harvard as the easy favorite with Princeton and Cornell tying for second. So far, it's the only projection I've seen that has the Quakers regressing from last year:

He also puts up bell curves for projected overall and conference wins:

Pomeroy predicts results game by game, including this brutal stretch of seven-consecutive losses that he projects for the Quakers at the beginning of the Ivy season:

It's a cold but calculated outlook on the season.